Nashville Is Currently A Buyer’s Market, But Here’s Why I’m Optimistic Long Term

Four Seasons, Nashville 7th level pool deck - credit: FourSeasons.com

If you’ve been paying attention to the Nashville real estate market lately, you’ve probably noticed that things look very different than they did during the Covid boom. And honestly, they should. We are no longer in the market where houses are getting 10 offers in a weekend, buyers are waiving every contingency they can think of, and people are paying whatever it takes just to get a house.

Right now, Nashville is a buyer’s market. But I don’t think that means Nashville is a bad place to buy real estate. In fact, I think the two things can be true at the same time: Nashville can be a buyer-friendly market right now AND still have a strong long-term story.

So let’s talk about what is actually happening.

One of the biggest things we are seeing is inventory. A lot of developers bought land before and during Covid, and those projects take years to move through planning, approvals, financing and construction. That means some of the inventory hitting the market today is the result of decisions that were made several years ago. And on top of that new construction, we also have the normal resale market. Put those two things together and we have a lot more homes available for buyers than we have had in quite some time.

According to Redfin’s August 2026 data for Davidson County, we’ve had more than six months of supply, new listings were up about 24% year over year, and homes were sitting on the market for an average of 66 days. The median sale price was also down about 4% from the year before. Only about 12% of homes sold for more than their asking price.

That is a very different market from what we saw a few years ago.

And honestly? For buyers, that can be a good thing.

You have more choices. You have more time to think. You have more opportunity to negotiate. You may be able to ask for repairs, closing cost assistance or other concessions that simply weren't realistic when buyers were competing against one another. Redfin’s August data showed an estimated 139% more sellers than buyers in Nashville, which illustrates just how dramatically the balance has shifted.

I think the biggest mistake people can make right now is looking at the current market and assuming that Nashville itself has somehow stopped being desirable.

The frenzy is over. That does not mean Nashville is over.

Nashville is still attracting businesses, jobs and people. The Nashville Area Chamber of Commerce lists major corporate headquarters and operations in the region for companies including Oracle, Amazon, AllianceBernstein, Bridgestone Americas, HCA Healthcare, Dollar General, Tractor Supply, Nissan North America, Mitsubishi Motors, Mars Petcare, Ingram Content Group and others. The region also has five Fortune 500 headquarters: HCA Healthcare, Dollar General, Tractor Supply, Community Health Systems and Delek US Holdings.

The technology sector is another example. The Nashville Area Chamber reports that Nashville-area tech jobs grew 29.6% between 2019 and 2024, with projected Middle Tennessee tech job growth of 28% through 2027.

And then there is the continued investment in Nashville’s luxury market.

We have some pretty significant hotel and branded-residence projects either operating or in the pipeline. Four Seasons Nashville has 144 private residences. The Residences at Broadwest are connected to Conrad Nashville. Pendry Nashville is planned with 146 residences, and additional luxury hotel brands are continuing to look at Nashville for future development, including EDITION, Ritz-Carlton and St. Regis.

Some other key indicators of a growing city are 9,244 residents moved into Davidson County between July 2024 and July 2025, reaching an estimated population of 721,074. That put Nashville-Davidson 8th in the country for numeric population growth among cities in the Census Bureau's latest estimates, according to Census.gov.

You can even see Nashville's growth in the plans for Nashville’s airport, BNA. The airport handled a record 26.7 million passengers in fiscal year 2026 and is now expanding to accommodate 40 million annual travelers. The airport has also partnered with The Boring Company on plans for an underground transportation system, the Music City Loop, designed to help move passengers between BNA and key points in the city while reducing congestion on the roads. And BNA's long-term vision includes a future Terminal II capable of supporting up to 70 million passengers, according to BNA’s website.

That is not something I would point to as proof that real estate prices are guaranteed to go up. They aren't. Real estate never comes with that guarantee. But I do think it is interesting when you look at the amount of investment that is continuing to come into the city, even while the residential market has cooled down for now.

And that is really the point I am trying to make.

I don't think buyers should look at today's market and assume Nashville is going to appreciate at the same pace it did during the Covid years. I also don't think anyone should buy a house simply because someone tells them Nashville is "going to keep going up." That's not how real estate works.

What I do think is worth paying attention to is the bigger picture.

Nashville is still growing. Companies are still investing here. People are still moving here. New construction is still happening. Major hospitality and entertainment projects are still being developed. And the city's economy is much more diversified than it was decades ago.

At the same time, buyers finally have something they haven't had in a while: breathing room.

In most cases right now, (every market sector is different depending on price point and product), you don't have to make a decision in 15 minutes. You don't necessarily have to compete against five other offers. You can actually look at a house, think about it, run your numbers, negotiate and decide whether it makes sense for you.

And for me, that is the interesting part of the Nashville market right now.

The market can be challenging for sellers while creating opportunity for buyers. Prices can correct from the Covid-era highs while the city itself continues to grow. Those things aren't mutually exclusive.

So if you have been sitting on the sidelines because you thought Nashville was too expensive or too competitive, it may be worth taking another look.

The Nashville of 2021 and 2022 is not the Nashville real estate market we are living in today.

And honestly, that's okay.

Sometimes a little breathing room is exactly what a market needs.

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